It’s Super Tuesday! Or, as we like to say around here, aaaaauuuuugh!
Fourteen states are running their Democratic Primary today, and thirteen are running their Republican Primary (Virginia cancelled theirs). There is one main focus, and that is on the Biden vs. Bernie matchup. After Biden’s conclusive win in South Carolina and the comparatively poor showing in both Nevada and South Carolina, his competition for ideological moderates – Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar – have stepped away and put their support behind him. Biden has also received a slew of endorsements (notably absent former President Obama) and seen a fundraising surge. He has been endorsed by Beto O’Rourke in Texas, which may help his Texan and liberal youth numbers, and Tom Steyer, who was trying to gain some black supporters Biden needs, has also dropped out.
All of this puts the wind firmly at Biden’s back… but he’s up against Bernie’s continued steady campaigning and a multi-year effort by his supporters to normalize socialism, both of which have combined to give Sanders a polling advantage up through this past weekend. Today could have a variety of results… boosting Biden or Bernie into incontrovertible front-runner status, or resulting in a more balanced continuing campaign.
Bloomberg’s financial muscle was put into this contest, with nationwide ads targeted to the Super Tuesday states. Today will be the ultimate test of this strategy; if Mayor Mike can pull first or second place in a few states, it will increase his chances to stay in the race. Warren’s also still in it, with a much greater support level than the forgotten Tulsi Gabbard. Warren is trying to pull a win in Massachusetts, and is hoping to ride her strong support in Hollywood to a good showing out of California. Beyond those locations, she is mainly focused on getting into second place finishes to demonstrate some level of continued viability.
On the Republican side, Bill Weld has been frozen out of all media except for social media, but he’s still on the ballot in many places and the GOP’s effort to show monolithic support for Trump just isn’t happening. The attention there will be on how much of a percentage Weld can chip away in each state, as those percentages will be potential general election gains for a Democrat who chooses to run as a centrist (like Biden is currently doing.)
Some states are holding primaries for positions other than the President.
While some of the states do not have the final totals in, at this point the results in most races are finalized. This will be the last update.
ALABAMA
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 63.2%; Mike Bloomberg = 11.7%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.2%; Bernie Sanders = 16.6%; Elizabeth Warren = 5.7%
HOUSE 1: James Averhart & Kiani Gardner runoff
HOUSE 2: Phyllis Harvey-Hall = 59.2%; Nathan Mathis = 40.8%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 96.2; Bill Weld = 1.5%
SENATE: Jeff Sessions & Tommy Tuberville runoff
HOUSE 1: Jerry Carl & Bill Hightower runoff
HOUSE 2: Jeff Coleman & Barry Moore runoff
HOUSE 5: Mo Brooks = 74.9%; Chris Lewis = 25.1%
ARKANSAS
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 40.5%; Mike Bloomberg = 16.7%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.7%; Bernie Sanders = 22.4%; Elizabeth Warren = 10.0%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 97.1%; Bill Weld = 2.1%
CALIFORNIA
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 24.9%; Mike Bloomberg = 14.3%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.7%; Bernie Sanders = 33.6%; Elizabeth Warren = 12.0%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 92.6%; Bill Weld = 2.5%
HOUSE 1: Doug LaMalfa (R); Audrey Denney (D)
HOUSE 2: Jared Huffman (D); Dale Mensing (R)
HOUSE 3: John Garamendi (D)
HOUSE 4: Tom McClintock (R); Brynne Kennedy (D)
HOUSE 5: Mike Thompson (D); Scott Giblin (R)
HOUSE 6: Doris Matsui (D)
HOUSE 7: Ami Bera (D); Buzz Patterson (R)
HOUSE 8: Jay Obernolte (R)
HOUSE 9: Jerry McNerney (D)
HOUSE 10: Josh Harder (D); Ted Howze (R)
HOUSE 11: Mark DeSaulnier (D); Nisha Sharma (R)
HOUSE 12: Nancy Pelosi (D)
HOUSE 14: Jackie Speier (D)
HOUSE 15: Eric Swalwell (D)
HOUSE 17: Ro Khanna (D)
HOUSE 18: Anna Eshoo (D)
HOUSE 19: Zoe Lofgren (D)
HOUSE 20: Jimmy Panetta (D)
HOUSE 21: David Valadao (R); TJ Cox (D)
HOUSE 22: Devin Nunes (R)
HOUSE 24: Salud Carbajal (D); Andy Caldwell (R)
HOUSE 25: Christy Smith (D) is in the runoff for the Special Election. Particular Note: Cenk Uygur was running for this spot and came in a dismal fourth place.
HOUSE 26: Julia Brownley (D); Ronda Baldwin-Kennedy (R)
HOUSE 27: Judy Chu (D)
HOUSE 28: Adam Schiff (D)
HOUSE 29: Tony Cardenas (D)
HOUSE 30: Brad Sherman (D); Mark Reed (R)
HOUSE 32: Grace Napolitano (D)
HOUSE 33: Ted Lieu (D)
HOUSE 34: Jimmy Gomez (D)
HOUSE 36: Raul Ruiz (D)
HOUSE 37: Karen Bass (D)
HOUSE 39: Young Kim (R); Gil Cisneros (D)
HOUSE 41: Mark Takano (D)
HOUSE 42: Ken Calvert (R)
HOUSE 43: Maxine Waters (D)
HOUSE 44: Nanette Barragan (D)
HOUSE 45: Katie Porter (D)
HOUSE 46: Lou Correa (D); James Waters (R)
HOUSE 48: Harley Rouda (D); Michelle Steel (R)
HOUSE 50: Ammar Campa-Najjar (D)
HOUSE 52: Scott Peters (D)
HOUSE 53: Sara Jacobs (D)
COLORADO
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 23.6%; Mike Bloomberg = 20.5%; Tulsi Gabbard = 1.1%; Bernie Sanders = 36.1%; Elizabeth Warren = 17.3%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 92.5%; Bill Weld = 3.6%
MAINE
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 34.1%; Mike Bloomberg = 12.0%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.9%; Bernie Sanders = 32.9%; Elizabeth Warren = 15.7%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump
MASSACHUSETTS
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 33.6%; Mike Bloomberg = 11.8%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.8%; Bernie Sanders = 26.7%; Elizabeth Warren = 21.4%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 87.7%; Bill Weld = 9.3%
MINNESOTA
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 38.6%; Mike Bloomberg = 8.3%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.3%; Bernie Sanders = 29.9%; Elizabeth Warren = 15.4%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump
NORTH CAROLINA
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 43.0%; Mike Bloomberg = 13.0%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.5%; Bernie Sanders = 24.1%; Elizabeth Warren = 10.5%
GOVERNOR: Roy Cooper = 87.2%; Ernest Reaves = 12.8%
SENATE: Erica Smith = 34.8%; Trevor Fuller = 3.8%; Cal Cunningham = 57.0%
HOUSE 2: Deborah Ross = 70.0%; Andrew Terrell = 5.8%; Monika Johnson – Hostler = 22.4%; Ollie Nelson = 1.8%
HOUSE 4: David Price = 86.7%; Daniel Lockwood = 13.3%
HOUSE 5: David Brown = 68.0%; Eric Hughes = 32.0%
HOUSE 6: Bruce Davis = 15.0%; Rhonda Foxx = 19.9%; Derwin Montgomery = 12.4%; Kathy Manning = 48.4%
HOUSE 7: Christopher Ward = 46.4%; Robert Colon = 17.3%; Mark Judson = 36.3%
HOUSE 9: Harry Southerland = 16.3%; Cynthia Wallace = 55.9%; Marcus Williams = 13.0%; Clayton Brooks = 14.8%
HOUSE 11: Michael O’Shea = 11.2%; Phillip Price = 11.3%; Moe Davis = 47.4%; Gina Collias = 22.7%
HOUSE 12: Alma Adams = 88.1%; Keith Cradle = 11.9%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 93.5; Bill Weld = 1.9%
GOVERNOR: Dan Forest = 89.0%; Holly Grange = 11.0%
SENATE: Thom Tillis = 78.1%; Paul Wright = 7.5%; Larry Holmquist = 7.4%
HOUSE 1: Sandy Smith = 77.0%; Ethan Baca = 5.6%; Jim Glisson = 7.6%; Michele Nix = 9.9%
HOUSE 4: Dabesh Sarkar = 23.0%; Nasir Shaikh = 11.4%; Robert Thomas = 48.3%; Steve Loor = 17.2%
HOUSE 6: Laura Pichardo = 26.8%; Lee Haywood = 73.2%
HOUSE 10: Ralf Walters = 12.0%; David Johnson = 16.3%; Patrick McHenry = 71.7%
HOUSE 11: Runoff between Lynda Bennett & Madison Cawthorn
OKLAHOMA
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 38.7%; Mike Bloomberg = 13.9%; Tulsi Gabbard = 1.7%; Bernie Sanders = 25.4%; Elizabeth Warren = 13.4%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 92.6%
TENNESSEE
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 41.7%; Mike Bloomberg = 15.5%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.4%; Bernie Sanders = 25.0%; Elizabeth Warren = 10.4%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 96.5%; Bill Weld = 1%
TEXAS
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 34.5%; Mike Bloomberg = 14.4%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.4%; Bernie Sanders = 30.0%; Elizabeth Warren = 11.4%
SENATE: Mary Hegar & Royce West in runoff
HOUSE 2: Elisa Cardnell & Sima Ladjevardian in runoff
HOUSE 3: Sean McCaffity & Lulu Seikaly in runoff
HOUSE 8: Elizabeth Hernandez = 59.9%; Laura Jones = 40.1%
HOUSE 9: Al Green = 83.6% Melissa Wilson = 16.4%
HOUSE 10: Pritesh Ghandi & Mike Siegel in runoff
HOUSE 12: Danny Anderson = 19.0%; Lisa Welch = 81.0%
HOUSE 13: Greg Sagan & Gus Trujillo in runoff
HOUSE 14: Sanjanetta Barnes = 10.6%; Adrienne Bell = 61.8%; Eddie Fisher = 11.8%; Mikal Williams = 9.6%
HOUSE 17: David Jaramillo & Rick Kennedy in runoff
HOUSE 18: Sheila Jackson Lee= 77.1%; Bimal Patel = 3.8%; Marc Flores = 8.3%; Jerry Ford = 3.7%
HOUSE 20: Joaquin Castro = 91.9%; Rob Hostetler = 3.4%; Justin Lecea = 4.7%
HOUSE 21: Wendy Davis = 86.2%; Jennie Lou Leeder = 13.8%
HOUSE 22: Sri Kulkarni = 53.1%; Nyanza Moore = 14.5%; Carmine Petrillo = 7.8%; Derrick Reed = 24.7%
HOUSE 23: Rosalinda Abuabara = 10.8%; Efrain Valdez = 10.9%; Gina Jones = 66.8%; Ricardo Madrid = 7.1%
HOUSE 24: Kim Olson & Candace Valenzuela in runoff
HOUSE 25: Julie Oliver = 69.6%; Heidi Sloan = 30.4%
HOUSE 26: Neil Durrance = 16.6%; Carol Iannuzzi = 55.4%; Mat Pruneda = 28.0%
HOUSE 27: Ricardo De La Fuente = 61.5%; Charlie Jackson = 38.5%
HOUSE 28: Jessica Cisneros = 48.2%; Henry Cuellar = 51.8%
HOUSE 30: Hasani Burton = 3.2%; Barbara Caraway = 12.5%; Shenita Cleveland = 13.7%; Eddie Johnson = 70.6%
HOUSE 31: Donna Imam & Christine Mann in runoff
HOUSE 33: Sean Paul Segura = 36.6%; Marc Veasey = 63.4%
HOUSE 34: Osbert Haro = 6.5%; Filemon Vela = 75.0%; Diego Zavala = 18.5%
HOUSE 35: Rafael Ocoser = 26.9%; Lloyd Doggett = 73.1%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 94.1%; Bill Weld = 0.8%
SENATE: John Cornyn = 76.3%; Dwayne Stovall = 12.0%; Mark Yancey = 6.1%
HOUSE 1: Johnathan Davidson = 10.3%; Louie Gohmert = 89.7%
HOUSE 5: Lance Gooden = 83.6%; Don Hill = 16.4%
HOUSE 7: Maria Espinoza = 5.9%; Wesley Hunt = 61.0%; Cindy Siegel = 27.1%; Kyle Preston = 3.0%
HOUSE 8: Kevin Brady = 80.5%; Melissa Esparza-Mathis = 3.1%; Kirk Osborn = 16.4%
HOUSE 9: Julian Martinez = 17.3%; John Menefee = 24.1%; Johnny Teague = 58.6%
HOUSE 11: August Pfluger = 52.1%; Brandon Batch = 15.1%; Jamie Berryhill = 7.0%; Wesley Virdell = 7.4%
HOUSE 12: Kay Granger = 57.9%; Chris Putnam = 42.1%
HOUSE 13: Josh Winegarner & Ronny Jackson in runoff
HOUSE 14: Joshua Foxworth = 14.6%; Randy Weber = 85.4%
HOUSE 15: Monica De la Cruz-Hernandez & Ryan Krause in runoff
HOUSE 16: Sam Williams & Irene Armendariz-Jackson in runoff
HOUSE 17: Pete Sessions & Renee Swann in runoff
HOUSE 18: Robert Cadena & Wendell Champion in runoff
HOUSE 19: Jodey Arrington = 89.5%; Vance Boyd = 10.5%
HOUSE 20: Gary Allen & Mauro Garza in runoff
HOUSE 22: Kathaleen Wall & Troy Nehls in runoff
HOUSE 23: Raul Reyes & Tony Gonzales in runoff
HOUSE 24: Sunny Chaparala = 5.6%; David Fegan = 20.7%; Beth Van Duyne = 64.3%; Desi Maes = 5.8%
HOUSE 25: Keith Nuendorff = 12.4%; Roger Williams = 87.6%
HOUSE 26: Michael Armstrong = 8.3%; Michael Burgess = 73.6%; Jason Mrocek = 7.0%; Jack Wyman = 11.2%
HOUSE 29: Robert Schafranek = 43.1%; Jaimy Blanco = 56.9%
HOUSE 31: John Carter = 82.3%; Abhiram Garapati = 4.2%; Christopher Wall = 4.9%; Mike Williams = 8.6%
HOUSE 32: Genevieve Collins = 52.6%; Jon Hollis = 4.5%; Floyd McLendon = 34.2%; Jeff Tokar = 4.4%
HOUSE 34: Ray Gonzalez = 56.3%; Rod Lingsch = 43.7%
HOUSE 35: William Hayward & Jenny Sharon in runoff
HOUSE 36: Brian Babin = 89.6%; R.J. Boatman = 10.4%
UTAH
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 17.4%; Mike Bloomberg = 16.7%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.8%; Bernie Sanders = 34.6%; Elizabeth Warren = 15.5%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 88.2%; Bill Weld = 6.5%
VERMONT
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 22.0%; Mike Bloomberg = 9.4%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.8%; Bernie Sanders = 50.8%; Elizabeth Warren = 12.6%
Republican:
PRESIDENT: Donald J. Trump = 88.7%; Bill Weld = 10.4%
VIRGINIA
Democrat:
PRESIDENT: Joe Biden = 53.3%; Mike Bloomberg = 9.7%; Tulsi Gabbard = 0.9%; Bernie Sanders = 23.1%; Elizabeth Warren = 10.8%
And just to keep track of such things… a livestream of some results.
